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“LLMs aren’t smart, all they do is predict the next word”

“LLMs aren’t smart, all they do is predict the next word”

The Underestimated Potential of Large Language Models: More Than Just Word Prediction

In recent discussions surrounding artificial intelligence, particularly large language models (LLMs), a recurring sentiment is that these systems are merely “predicting the next word.” While this statement might sound straightforward, it dangerously simplifies and underestimates the profound impact that LLMs are having on various fields. It’s crucial to dissect this narrative and understand the more significant implications of LLMs beyond their mechanics.

The Astonishing Output of LLMs

Many people are captivated by the results produced by LLMs, not just by the underlying methods that generate them. The code and creative content these models output are remarkable, often requiring only minimal iterations and adjustments. However, it seems that there is a growing desensitization to technological advancements among the public. This is particularly evident among those who may not be directly involved in AI but are otherwise knowledgeable and sophisticated in their fields.

Experts in artificial intelligence express valid concerns about the trajectory of LLMs, acknowledging the complexities they’re grappling with. In contrast, the general public might take oversimplified statements—like “LLMs just predict the next word”—at face value, missing the larger narrative of innovation that is unfolding. This lack of understanding is frustrating, especially when speaking with intelligent individuals who, for various reasons, choose to dismiss LLMs. Whether due to moral objections or perceptions of AI being a temporary trend, the unwillingness to engage with facts is concerning.

Bridging the Knowledge Gap

Consider recent developments like “vibecoding,” which underscore how accessible certain technical capabilities have become, even to those with no prior experience in programming. While it’s true that current LLMs generate code based on sequential predictions, we are not far from a future where AI can autonomously connect the dots—creating and executing code for specific purposes. This advancement is not merely theoretical; AI agents are already performing tasks as requested by users, showcasing the potential for greater autonomy and capability.

The way LLMs produce results may seem trivial to some, but this perspective overlooks a critical fact: the astonishing capabilities these models are developing. It’s essential for individuals to recognize the true power behind LLMs rather than fixate on their technical limitations.

Sentience: A Misleading Concept

A common argument against LLMs gaining further acceptance is the belief that they will never achieve sentience since they merely generate text based on predictions. This raises two pivotal points

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